Projecting the Number of Posttransplant Clinic Visits With a Rise in the Number of Kidney Transplants: A Case Study From Ontario, Canada

Author:

Mann Shawna123ORCID,Naylor Kyla L.4,McArthur Eric4,Kim S. Joseph5,Knoll Greg6,Zaltzman Jeffrey7,Treleaven Darin8,Ouedraogo Alexandra4,Jevnikar Anthony1,Garg Amit X.14910ORCID

Affiliation:

1. Division of Nephrology, Western University, London, ON, Canada

2. Institute of Health Policy, Management and Evaluation, University of Toronto, ON, Canada

3. Division of Nephrology, The University of British Columbia, Vancouver, Canada

4. Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences, London, ON, Canada

5. Division of Nephrology, University Health Network, University of Toronto, ON, Canada

6. Division of Nephrology, Department of Medicine, Kidney Research Centre, Ottawa Hospital Research Institute, University of Ottawa, ON, Canada

7. Division of Nephrology, St. Michael’s Hospital, University of Toronto, ON, Canada

8. Division of Nephrology, McMaster University, Hamilton, ON, Canada

9. Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Western University, London, ON, Canada

10. London Health Sciences Centre, ON, Canada

Abstract

Background: In Ontario, kidney transplants have risen by 4% annually in recent years. An understanding of how this will affect the future annual number of posttransplant follow-up visits informs how to organize and deliver care. Objective: We projected the required number of annual posttransplant follow-up nephrology visits to inform posttransplant care delivery. Design: Population-based retrospective cohort study. Setting: Linked databases from Ontario, Canada (population 14 million). Patients: Incident kidney transplant recipients from years 2008 to 2013. Measurements: Frequency, distance traveled, and current and projected visits for posttransplant follow-up. Methods: Assuming a graft survival of 13 years and using the mean number of posttransplant clinic visits in years 1, 2, and 3, we forecasted the number of clinic visits needed in the year 2027. Results: Using data from 2443 recipients, the mean (SD) number of clinic visits per recipient was 14.0 (9.2) in the first year after transplant, and 3.9 (6.2) and 3.0 (5.3) in the second and third year, respectively. If transplant rates rise by 4% per year until 2027, the estimated annual visits number will increase from 30 622 to 43 948. The median (25th, 75th percentile) distance between transplant center and patient’s home was 30 (13, 65) km. The median round-trip travel distance for these visits in the first year after transplantation was 603 km per recipient, and median driving cost was Can$344 (2017). Limitations: Regarding patient expense, limitations include that distances traveled were calculated orthodromically, and we did not account for patient cost of follow-up beyond that of vehicular travel. Regarding follow-up projections, limitations include the assumption that graft life span will not change, follow-up patterns do not differ between donor kidney type, and we did not survey stakeholders as to their preferred method of follow-up. Conclusion: We quantified the increase in posttransplant visits when regional annual rates of transplantation rise. Strategies recognizing the burden of these visits may enhance patient-centered care, as it is unclear how some patients manage costs, nor how the current health care system will manage the demand.

Funder

cancer care ontario

Publisher

SAGE Publications

Subject

Nephrology

Cited by 4 articles. 订阅此论文施引文献 订阅此论文施引文献,注册后可以免费订阅5篇论文的施引文献,订阅后可以查看论文全部施引文献

同舟云学术

1.学者识别学者识别

2.学术分析学术分析

3.人才评估人才评估

"同舟云学术"是以全球学者为主线,采集、加工和组织学术论文而形成的新型学术文献查询和分析系统,可以对全球学者进行文献检索和人才价值评估。用户可以通过关注某些学科领域的顶尖人物而持续追踪该领域的学科进展和研究前沿。经过近期的数据扩容,当前同舟云学术共收录了国内外主流学术期刊6万余种,收集的期刊论文及会议论文总量共计约1.5亿篇,并以每天添加12000余篇中外论文的速度递增。我们也可以为用户提供个性化、定制化的学者数据。欢迎来电咨询!咨询电话:010-8811{复制后删除}0370

www.globalauthorid.com

TOP

Copyright © 2019-2024 北京同舟云网络信息技术有限公司
京公网安备11010802033243号  京ICP备18003416号-3