Scenario-based wind speed estimation using a new hybrid metaheuristic model: Particle swarm optimization and radial movement optimization

Abstract

This paper presents a new hybrid metaheuristic model in order to estimate wind speeds accurately. The study was started by the training process of artificial neural networks with some metaheuristic algorithms such as evolutionary strategy, genetic algorithm, ant colony optimization, probability-based incremental learning, particle swarm optimization, and radial movement optimization in the literature. The success of each model is recorded in graphs. In order to make the closest estimation and to increase the system stability, a new hybrid metaheuristic model was developed using particle swarm optimization and radial movement optimization, and the training process of artificial neural networks was performed with this new model. The data were obtained by real-time measurements from a 63-m-high wind measurement station built at the coordinates of UTM E 263254 and N 4173479, altitude 1313 m. Two different scenarios were created using actual data and applied to all models. It was observed that the error values in the designed new hybrid metaheuristic model were lower than those of the other models.