Predicting Mathematical Achievement and Mathematical Learning Disability with a Simple Screening Tool

Abstract

The Number Sets Test was developed to assess the speed and accuracy with which children can identify and process quantities represented by Arabic numerals and object sets. The utility of this test for predicting mathematics achievement and risk for mathematical learning disability (MLD) was assessed for a sample of 223 children. A signal detection analysis of first grade Number Sets Test scores provided measures of children's sensitivity to number and their response bias. The sensitivity measure, d', but not the response bias measure was predictive of third grade mathematics achievement scores, above and beyond the influence of intelligence, working memory, and first grade achievement scores. Further analyses assessed the sensitivity and specificity of the test and revealed that first grade d' scores identified 2 out of 3 children diagnosed as MLD in third grade and correctly identified about 9 out of 10 children who were not at risk for MLD.