Exports, Employment and Conflict: Evidence From the Second Intifada

Author:

Calì Massimiliano1ORCID,Miaari Sami H.23ORCID

Affiliation:

1. The World Bank, Tunisia

2. Department of Labor Studies, Tel-Aviv University, Israel

3. Blavatnik School of Government, University of Oxford, UK

Abstract

Do export shocks affect conflict? The evidence on this question has so far focused mainly on commodity price shocks. This paper uses data from the entire export basket to examine whether shocks to Palestinian exports in the second half of the 1990s affected the intensity of the subsequent Palestinian uprising (‘Second Intifada’). The analysis uses sector-specific changes in Chinese and global exports to instrument Palestinian exports to minimize potential endogeneity bias of export changes with respect to conflict. The findings suggest that an increase of USD 10 million in Palestinian exports of a sector employing 10% of the locality’s private employment reduces the number of Palestinians killed by Israel in that locality by 13.9 percent. The paper provides evidence that these results are consistent with the opportunity cost mechanism of conflict participation.

Publisher

SAGE Publications

同舟云学术

1.学者识别学者识别

2.学术分析学术分析

3.人才评估人才评估

"同舟云学术"是以全球学者为主线,采集、加工和组织学术论文而形成的新型学术文献查询和分析系统,可以对全球学者进行文献检索和人才价值评估。用户可以通过关注某些学科领域的顶尖人物而持续追踪该领域的学科进展和研究前沿。经过近期的数据扩容,当前同舟云学术共收录了国内外主流学术期刊6万余种,收集的期刊论文及会议论文总量共计约1.5亿篇,并以每天添加12000余篇中外论文的速度递增。我们也可以为用户提供个性化、定制化的学者数据。欢迎来电咨询!咨询电话:010-8811{复制后删除}0370

www.globalauthorid.com

TOP

Copyright © 2019-2024 北京同舟云网络信息技术有限公司
京公网安备11010802033243号  京ICP备18003416号-3