Affiliation:
1. Department of Political Science, Indiana University
2. Center for International Affairs, Harvard University
Abstract
Of approximately 100 empirical democratic peace articles published in journals and papers presented at conferences over the last 10 years, none identifies a positive and statistically significant relationship between democratic dyads and militarized conflict. Therefore, many international relations researchers have reached the conclusion that widespread democratization will lead to a more peaceful world. Nevertheless, two different attacks on these fundamental premises have been advanced recently. One argues that the pacificity of democratic dyads is restricted to the post-World War II era. The other argues that democratizing states, as opposed to states experiencing regime changes, have a greater propensity to engage in war. The present authors find that neither the arguments nor the evidence hold up well to closer scrutiny. First, when controlling for changes in specific predominant rivalry structures, pre-1914 democratic dyads are less likely to engage in militarized conflict. Second, democratic transitions do not produce a window of heightened vulnerability to war participation.
Subject
Political Science and International Relations,Sociology and Political Science,General Business, Management and Accounting
Cited by
137 articles.
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1. Democratic Transitions;The Palgrave Encyclopedia of Global Security Studies;2023
2. Dyadic Conflict: Elites, Citizens, and War;The Journal of Politics;2022-01-01
3. Peace and Democracy;Encyclopedia of Violence, Peace, & Conflict;2022
4. Instytucjonalne wyjaśnienie demokratycznego pokoju;Stosunki międzynarodowe. Antologia tekstów źródłowych. Tom 2: Współczesne oblicza dyscypliny – po 1989 roku;2022
5. Democratizing the dispute: democratization and the history of conflict management;International Interactions;2021-01-03