CAROTIDSCORE.RU—The first Russian computer program for risk stratification of postoperative complications of carotid endarterectomy

Author:

Kazantsev AN1ORCID,Abdullaev IA2,Danilchuk LB3,Shramko VA4,Korotkikh AV5ORCID,Chernykh KP6,Bagdavadze GSH4,Zharova AS4,Kharchilava EU4,Lider RYU7,Kazantseva YeG7,Zakeryayev AB8,Shmatov DV9,Kravchuk VN4,Zakharova KL6,Artyukhov SV6,Bhand HK7,Chernyavtsev IA4,Erofeev AA10,Khorkova SM4,Kulikov KA4,Lutsenko VA11,Matusevich VV8,Morozov DYU4,Peshekhonov KS6,Sultanov RV11,Zarkua NE4,Khasanova DD4,Serova NY4,Shaikhutdinova RA2,Gavrilova OO12,Alekseeva EO12,Kleschenogov AS7,Sukhoruchkin PV8,Taits DB2,Taits BM4,Palagin PD1,Lebedev OV1,Alekseev MV1,Belov YuV13

Affiliation:

1. Kostroma Regional Clinical Hospital Named After E.I. Korolev, Russian Federation

2. St. Petersburg State Pediatric Medical University, Russian Federation

3. First St. Petersburg State Medical University Named After Academician I. P. Pavlov, Russian Federation

4. North-Western State Medical University. I.I. Mechnikov, Russian Federation

5. Clinic of Cardiac Surgery of the Amur State Medical Academy of the Ministry of Health of Russia, Blagoveshchensk, Russian Federation

6. Alexander Hospital, Russian Federation

7. Kemerovo State Medical University, Russian Federation

8. Regional Clinical Hospital No. 1 Named. Prof. S.V. Ochapovsky, Russian Federation

9. Clinic of High Medical Technologies. N.I. Pirogov St. Petersburg State University, Russian Federation

10. City Multidisciplinary Hospital No. 2, Russian Federation

11. Kemerovo Regional Clinical Hospital Named After S.V. Belyaeva, Russian Federation

12. Yaroslav-the-Wise Novgorod State University, Russian Federation

13. Federal State Budgetary Scientific Institution “Russian Scientific Center of Surgery Named B.V. Petrovsky”, Moscow, Russian Federation

Abstract

Goal Presentation of the first Russian computer program ( www.carotidscore.ru ) for risk stratification of postoperative complications of carotid endarterectomy (CEE). Material and methods The present study is based on the analysis of a multicenter Russian database that includes 25,812 patients after CEE operated on from 01/01/2010 to 04/01/2022. The following types of CEE were implemented: 6814 classical CEE with plastic reconstruction of the reconstruction zone with a patch; 18,998 eversion CEE. Results In the hospital postoperative period, 0.18% developed a lethal outcome, 0.14%—myocardial infarction, 0.35%—stroke. The combined endpoint was 0.68%. For each factor present in patients, a predictive coefficient was calculated. The prognostic coefficient was a numerical indicator reflecting the strength of the influence of each factor on the development of postoperative complications. Based on this formula, predictive coefficients were calculated for each factor present in patients in our study. The total contribution of these factors was reflected in “%” and denoted the risk of postoperative complications with a minimum value of 0% and a maximum of 100%. On the basis of the obtained calculations, a computer program CarotidSCORE was created. Its graphical interface is based on the QT framework ( https://www.qt.io ), which has established itself as one of the best solutions for desktop applications. It is possible not only to calculate the probability of developing a complication, but also to save all data about the patient in JSON format (for the patient’s personal card and his anamnesis). The CarotidSCORE program contains 47 patient parameters, including clinical-demographic, anamnestic and angiographic characteristics. It allows you to choose one of the four types of CEE, which will provide an accurate stratification of the risk of complications for each of them in person. Conclusion CarotidSCORE ( www.carotidscore.ru ) is able to determine the likelihood of postoperative complications in patients undergoing CEE.

Publisher

SAGE Publications

Subject

Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine,Radiology, Nuclear Medicine and imaging,General Medicine,Surgery

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