The Planning Bias in the Spatial Rendezvous: Partial Compensation for Temporal Uncertainty

Author:

Patton Colleen E.1,Wickens Christopher D.1,Clegg Benjamin A.1,Zhou Xiaoyan1

Affiliation:

1. Colorado State University, Fort Collins CO

Abstract

Rendezvous behaviors involve meeting at a time and place, therefore requiring accurate prediction and planning of both your own and the target trajectory. Previous work suggests that the planning bias occurs in spatial situations, with control decisions in a basic ship simulation producing a general tendency towards late rendezvous arrivals. The current experiment introduced temporal uncertainty, operationalized through intermittent delays in the trajectory of the participant’s ship on only some trials. Most trends found under certainty, such as preference for dual axis control, were replicated. Compensation for the possible delays resulted in improved accuracy overall, although not enough to overcome the delays themselves; late arrivals were still prevalent on those trials. Experiencing uncertainty therefore influences the planning bias, and the inclusion of some unpredictable events may counterintuitively improve overall performance. The implications for real-world planning and decision making are discussed.

Publisher

SAGE Publications

Subject

General Medicine,General Chemistry

Cited by 2 articles. 订阅此论文施引文献 订阅此论文施引文献,注册后可以免费订阅5篇论文的施引文献,订阅后可以查看论文全部施引文献

1. Examining the Influence of Mayoral Overconfidence on Government Innovation Investment and City Innovation Power: an Environmental Boundary Model Approach;Journal of the Knowledge Economy;2023-12-21

2. Rendezvous Under Temporal Uncertainty;Human Factors: The Journal of the Human Factors and Ergonomics Society;2021-07-07

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