Making Informed Decisions in the Volatile Crypto Market: An Analysis of Portfolio Risk and Return

Abstract

Despite widespread skepticism linked to cryptocurrencies, they are constantly gaining the interest of scholars, investors, media, and regulators. Recognizing the importance that portfolio risk maintains for crypto participants, this study attempts to shed light on this issue. We investigate the risk-return tradeoffs of the most tradable cryptocurrencies based on portfolio diversification techniques. Three different crypto portfolios containing a diverse number of cryptocurrencies were created to analyze the diversification risk from a historical perspective. Data concerning daily prices and their trade volume was collected from the Coin Market Cap database and covered the period from 1 January 2016 to 31 December 2022. The results regarding the risk-reward tradeoff stand in line with the portfolio theory, where higher expected returns offset higher risk. On average, the portfolio composed of 10 cryptocurrencies offers better optimization than the one with five, as it generates the same returns with lower risk. The year 2018 reflects the maximum diversification benefits in the three portfolios, corresponding to the period when cryptocurrencies gained massive popularity. From the managerial perspective, results inform crypto and institutional investors of the possible diversification benefits of the 15 most traded cryptocurrencies.