Dynamic Evolution and Trend Analysis of the Coupling Coordination Between Sci-Tech Popularization and Sci-Tech Innovation in China

Abstract

Sci-Tech Popularization (STP) and Sci-Tech Innovation (STI) are two significant components to realize China’s innovation development. STI provides direction and content for STP, while STP creates an intense atmosphere for STI. By establishing two evaluation index systems of STP and STI, the STP index and the STI index of China and Chinese 31 provinces from 2010 to 2019 was calculated, and the STP index and the STI index from 2020 to 2024 were predicted. Finally, the relative development degree (RDD), the coupling coordination degree (CCD) and the dynamic degree of STP and STI were figured out. The results showed that: (1) From 2010 to 2024, the STP index and the STI index of China and Chinese 31 provinces showed a growing trend. The growth rate of STI was higher than that of STP, but the STP and the STI were low. (2) The RDD results showed that the development of STP lagged behind that of STI after 2018, and the gap between them showed a growing trend. (3) The CCD of STP and STI in China spanned three grades: moderate imbalance, slight imbalance, and approaching imbalance. The CCD in Chinese each province spanned five grades: severe imbalance, moderate imbalance, slight imbalance, approaching imbalance, reluctant coordination. The CCD was developing in a good direction, China and most Chinese provinces were still in an unbalanced level instead. Finally, suggestions on infrastructure, technical means, personnel, and social responsibility were put forward to promote the coordinated development between STP and STI in China.