Development and Validation of a Nomogram to Estimate Risk of Cesarean After Induction of Labor in Term Pregnancies with an Unfavorable Cervix in Iran

Abstract

This study aimed to develop and validate a labor induction nomogram for nulliparous and multiparous women who were 38 weeks pregnant or more and had their labor induced by an unfavorable cervix. This prospective study was conducted on 300 individuals (200 for nomogram development and 100 for nomogram validation). Height, body mass index at delivery, parity, gestational age, adjusted bishop score, and cesarean section risk assessment were all recorded on a checklist. Participants were followed until they gave birth, and the type of delivery was noted in the checklist. Out of 300 labor inductions, 80 (26.7%) underwent a cesarean section. Cesarean risk estimation was the only predictor of delivery type based on multivariate logistic regression. The AUC (Area Under the Curve) in development group was 0.68 and in validation group was 0.71. The developed nomogram for predicting of cesarean section risk following labor induction has a relatively good predictive value among women.