1. Environmental Change Research Centre, University College London, 26 Bedford Way, London WC1H OAP, UK
2. Department of Geography, University of Liverpool, Liverpool L69 3BX, UK
3. Department of Geography, University of Coventry, Coventry CV1 5BI, UK
4. Department of Theoretical Physics and Applied Mathematics, University of Liverpool, Liverpool L69 3BX, UK
5. Limnological Institute, Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences, PO Box 4199, Irkutsk 664033, Russia