Impact of Medicaid Expansion on Surgical Care and Outcomes for Hepatobiliary Malignancies

Abstract

Background As part of the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act, some states expanded Medicaid eligibility to adults with incomes below 138% of the federal poverty line. While this resulted in an increased proportion of insured residents, its impact on the diagnosis and treatment of hepatopancreaticobiliary (HPB) cancers has not been studied. Study Design The National Cancer Database (NCDB) from 2010 to 2017 was used. Patients diagnosed with HPB malignancies in states which expanded in 2014 were compared to patients in non-expansion states. Subset analyses of patients who underwent surgery and those in high-risk socioeconomic groups were performed. Outcomes studied included initiation of treatment within 30 days of diagnosis, stage at diagnosis, care at high volume or academic center, perioperative outcomes, and overall survival. Adjusted difference-in-differences analysis was performed. Results A total of 345,684 patients were included, of whom 55% resided in non-expansion states and 54% were diagnosed with pancreatic cancer. Overall survival was higher in states with Medicaid expansion (HR .90, 95% CI [.88-.92], P < .01). There were also better postoperative outcomes including 30-day mortality (.67 [.57-.80], P < .01) and 30-day readmissions (.87 [.78-.97], P = .02) as well as increased likelihood of having surgery in a high-volume center (1.42 [1.32-1.53], P < .01). However, there were lower odds of initiating care within 30 days of diagnosis (.77 [.75-.80], P < .01) and higher likelihood of diagnosis with stage IV disease (1.09 [1.06-1.12], P < .01) in expansion states. Conclusion While operative outcomes and overall survival from HPB cancers were better in states with Medicaid expansion, there was no improvement in timeliness of initiating care or stage at diagnosis.