Recovery of the Economy of Ukraine on the Basis of Digital Entrepreneurship: Forecast Expectations, Models and Scenarios of Post-War Development

Abstract

The purpose of scientific research is to present tools and measures for the recovery of the economy of Ukraine and to find reserves for accelerating the digitalization of business and entrepreneurship, which will play one of the main ‘violins’ of the innovative and digital development of Ukraine with a bright financial and economic future in the scenario of post-war development. The object of scientific research is the sphere of telecommunications, computer and information services from 2000 to 2023, and the analysis of indicators of the export of services in this sphere, the expansion of digital opportunities of entrepreneurship due to the introduction of products and services of the information and communication sphere as one of the key reserves of innovative and digital development during post-war reconstruction. Types of offset obligations for the purchase of imported products are presented, including: transfer of technologies, opening of joint production in the territory of the importer; direct investments, development of digital infrastructure, and investments in R&D. Measures to promote the digitization of traditional entrepreneurship are named, in particular: the creation of the Digital Bank of Innovative Development of Ukraine and the introduction of preferential taxation of incomes of newly created digital enterprises in the field of digital and innovation. It was determined that the creation of favorable conditions for innovation, investment, and commercial activities of digital enterprises, within the national digital ecosystem in technology parks, will speed up the post-war reconstruction of Ukraine’s economy. The practical significance of the research results is that the content of practical advice, the use of which will make it possible to preserve the positive dynamics of the export of services in terms of telecommunications, computer, and information services, regardless of the state of war in Ukraine, is disclosed. The value of the presented research is that having conducted a thorough analysis of statistical data on the dynamics of the export of business services and the dynamics of the export of services in the field of telecommunications, computer, and information services from 2000 to 2023, the authors managed to determine the relative error of approximation – a criterion for assessing the reliability of the forecast, which was 1.74% and to consider the approximation quality, and the forecast for 2026 is reliable. We consider this to be one of the opportunities for the country to make money by selling a quality product in foreign markets and as a result increasing the GDP. It is proposed to develop a program to support digital entrepreneurship in the field of information and communication technologies and to open regional technocenters for joint work with local entrepreneurs.