Methodology for Assessing and Predicting the Rate of Development of Education in the Republic of Azerbaijan

Abstract

The article developed a methodology for assessing the rates of development of education and their forecasting in the Republic of Azerbaijan, which allows considering factors with a heterogeneous metric. For this, an index analysis of thirty-five indicators was carried out, divided into seven groups depending on the level of education, an integral indicator characterizing their changes was calculated, and the pace of development of the industry in the Republic of Azerbaijan was determined. Further, using the Excel program, a forecast of changes in the number of students in the Republic of Azerbaijan until 2023 is presented according to three scenarios: optimistic, probabilistic and pessimistic. Studies have shown that optimistic and pessimistic scenarios are more likely to be realized.