On Modelling Seasonal Arima Series: Application on Road Accidents in Northeast Algeria-Reference-Cited by-同舟云学术

On Modelling Seasonal Arima Series: Application on Road Accidents in Northeast Algeria

Published:2020-06-04 Issue: Volume:15 Page:235-246
ISSN:1991-8763
Container-title:WSEAS TRANSACTIONS ON SYSTEMS AND CONTROL
language:en
Short-container-title:

Author:

Merabet Farida¹,Zeghdoudi Halim²

Affiliation:

1. Department of Mathematic and Informatics, ENSET, Skikda 21000, ALGERIA

2. LaPS laboratory, Badji-Mokhtar University BP12, Annaba 23000, Alger, ALGERIA

Abstract

This paper study and modeless a number of road accidental injuries in the region of Skikda (northeast Algeria) according to Box- Jenkins method using EViews software using series data from January 2001 to December 2016. Also, Kalman filter method is given. To this end, Kalman filter method is used for short term prediction and parametric identification purpose. The other side, a comparative study is given to compare between the two methods by de following criteria: Mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), root mean square percentage error (RMSPE) and the Theils’s U statistic. This application used Eviews 5.0 and SPSS 26 software’s.

Publisher

World Scientific and Engineering Academy and Society (WSEAS)

Subject

Artificial Intelligence,General Mathematics,Control and Systems Engineering

Reference31 articles.

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