We prove the main conjecture from Douglas, Shiffman, and Zelditch (2006) concerning the metric dependence and asymptotic minimization of the expected number
N
N
,
h
crit
\mathcal {N}^{\operatorname {crit}}_{N,h}
of critical points of random holomorphic sections of the
N
N
th tensor power of a positive line bundle. The first non-topological term in the asymptotic expansion of
N
N
,
h
crit
\mathcal {N}^{\operatorname {crit}}_{N,h}
is the Calabi functional multiplied by the constant
β
2
(
m
)
\beta _2(m)
which depends only on the dimension of the manifold. We prove that
β
2
(
m
)
\beta _2(m)
is strictly positive in all dimensions, showing that the expansion is non-topological for all
m
m
, and that the Calabi extremal metric, when it exists, asymptotically minimizes
N
N
,
h
crit
\mathcal {N}^{\operatorname {crit}}_{N,h}
.