Deterministic chaos and wash-out determination in crossover trials

Author:

Grabowski Tomasz1,Cox Gad Shayne2,Jaroszewski Jerzy J3,Guelen Pieter JM4

Affiliation:

1. Polpharma Biologics, Trzy lipy 3, 80–172 Gdańsk, Poland

2. Gad Consulting Services, 102 Woodtrail Lane, Cary, NC 27518, USA

3. Department of Pharmacology & Toxicology, Faculty of Veterinary Medicine, University of Warmia & Mazury in Olsztyn, Oczapowskiego 13, 10–718 Olsztyn, Poland

4. Pharmacokinetic Consultancy Services, Voorstraat 11, 5371 KE Dieden, The Netherlands

Abstract

Background: Key elements of crossover studies are the determination of the wash-out (clearance) period. The purpose of this work is an attempt to implement and justify the use of deterministic chaos theory for estimating the wash-out value and reference the obtained values to the currently applicable rules. Results/methodology: The elliptical model of drug wash-out was presented to prove the hypothesis. Pharmacokinetic profiles were used for the analysis, obtained from healthy subjects during 12 studies. Conclusion: On the grounds of these calculations it may be concluded that the pharmacokinetics of xenobiotics, such as drugs, is a product of deterministic chaos.

Publisher

Future Science Ltd

Reference42 articles.

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5. EMA. Guideline on statistical principles for veterinary clinical trials. EMEA/CVMP/816/00-Final. 1–25 (2000).

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