Modèle de population pour la planification de l’offre de service

Author:

Haurie Alain1

Affiliation:

1. École des Hautes Études commerciales (Montréal)

Abstract

This paper deals with the problem of adjusting the supply of public services to the demand for such services. In this matter, the planner is faced with a population having a stochastic behavior and he has to solve ticklish resource allocation problems. After presenting a general frame of modeling that fits such problems, the author gives some examples taken from education, social and care services. The last section is devoted to statistical and mathematical problems that have to be solved in order to operationalise such an approach.

Publisher

Consortium Erudit

Subject

General Medicine

Reference13 articles.

1. A. ALJ et A. HAURIE, 1979, "Description and Control of a Population Process", Proceedings IEEE Conference on Decision and Control, San Diego.

2. D. COLLART, A. HAURIE, 1975, "Un modèle général pour analyser la sensibilité d'un service interne d'un hôpital aux différents moyens de contrôle", Actes du colloque sur la théorie des systèmes et la gestion scientifique des services publics, Université de Montréal (C.R.M.) et Ecole des H.E.C., Montréal, Canada.

3. D. COLLART et A. HAURIE, 1976, "On a Suboptimal Control of a Hospital Inpatient Admission System", I.E.E.E. Transactions on Automatic Control, vol. AC 21, avril, pp. 233-238.

4. S. FANSCHEL, 1975, "The Welfare of the Elderly, A Systems Analysis Viewpoint", Policy Science, vol. 6, pp. 343-357.

5. A. HAURIE et alii, 1976, Modèles de simulation de l'ajustement de l'offre à la demande de soins dans un service de chirurgie, Rapport de recherche #76-10, Ecole des H.E.C., Montréal.

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