MID-TERM FORECAST FOR THE ICE CONDITIONS IN THE BERING SEA

Author:

Vrazhkin A. N.1

Affiliation:

1. Far-Eastern Regional Hydrometeorological Research Institute

Abstract

Application of CICE ice model for the mid-term (days) forecasting in the Bering Sea is considered, with short description of the model. Dependence of the sea surface temperature on the air temperature forecasted by GFS (Global Forecasting System) is determined. The ice concentration, ice cover, and the dates of ice formation are forecasted for the winter 2018/2019 using the model; its practical applicability is concluded.

Publisher

FSBSI TINRO Center

Subject

Microbiology (medical),Immunology,Immunology and Allergy

Reference9 articles.

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2. Klyachkin, S.V., Gudkovich, Z.M., Guzenko, R.B., and May, R.I., One to five days lead time model forecast of ice distribution in the South-Eastern part of the Sea of Okhotsk, Proceedings of the Hydrometeorological Research Center of the Russian Federation, 2015, no. 353, pp. 63–87.

3. Plotnikov, V.V., Izmenchivost’ ledovykh uslovii dal’nevostochnykh morei Rossii i ikh prognoz (Variability of Ice Conditions in the Far Eastern Seas of Russia and Prediction of Them), Vladivostok: Dal’nauka, 2002.

4. Donlon, C.J., Martin, M., Stark, J., Roberts-Jones, J., Fiedler, E., and Wimmer, W., The Operational Sea Surface Temperature and Sea Ice Analysis (OSTIA) system, Remote Sensing of Environment, 2012, vol. 116, pp. 140–158. doi 10.1016/j.rse.2010.10.017

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