Asymmetric volatility spillover between oil prices and regional renewable energy stock markets: A time-varying parameter vector autoregressive-based connectedness approach

Abstract

<abstract> <p>The rapid expansion of renewable energy sources and their integration into the energy mix has generated scholarly interest in comprehending the interplay between renewable and conventional energy markets. This research aims to examine the (a)symmetric volatility spillover between the oil market and various regional renewable energy stock markets, namely the US, Europe and Asia. To achieve this objective, we employ the time-varying parameter vector autoregressive-based connectedness (TVP-VAR) approach, which allows analysing the interconnection and transmission of shocks between the different markets. Based on an analysis of daily data relative to the different regional renewable energy stock markets and international oil prices, the findings suggest the presence of a dynamic volatility connectedness between the green and brown energy stock markets. The extent of connectedness is contingent upon the specific regional renewable energy market under consideration. Moreover, the decomposition of the volatility series into <italic>good</italic> and <italic>bad</italic> volatility emphasizes an asymmetric pattern, which becomes more pronounced during periods of major events. On average, the oil market and the Asian renewable energy stock market are net receivers of volatility shocks. In contrast, the US and European renewable energy stock markets are net transmitters of shocks. Our findings provide investors with valuable insights for portfolio design and risk management decisions.</p> </abstract>