Short-term urban resilience estimation after a hypothetical nuclear event-Reference-Cited by-同舟云学术

Short-term urban resilience estimation after a hypothetical nuclear event

Published:2024 Issue:1 Volume:10 Page:126-140
ISSN:2471-2132
Container-title:AIMS Geosciences
language:
Short-container-title:AIMSGEO

Author:

Profeta William H S¹,Neto Rocco Pascale¹²,Silva Vitor W L¹,Bonfim Carlos Eduardo S²,Curzio Rodrigo C²,Stenders Ricardo M³,Oliveira Ubiratan C¹,Oliveira Raquel A A Costa e⁴,Federico Claudio A⁵,Andrade Edson R¹²⁵⁶

Affiliation:

1. Nuclear Engineering Graduate Program, Military Institute of Engineering, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

2. Defense Engineering Graduate Program, Military Institute of Engineering, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

3. Fundação Armando Alvares penteado (FAAP), Faculty of Economics, São Paulo, Brazil

4. Cartographic Engineering Department, Military Institute of Engineering, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

5. Institute for Advanced Studies (IEAv), Brazilian Air Force, São Paulo, Brazil

6. Universidade do Oeste Paulista, São Paulo, Brazil

Abstract

<abstract> <p>In the event of a hypothetical tactical nuclear device being detonated in a densely populated urban area, the first responders must be well-prepared to make immediate decisions with limited information. To aid in this preparation, a computer simulation using the HotSpot Health Physics code was conducted to model the detonation of a tactical nuclear device in an international airport and its surroundings, considering different yields ranging from 1 to 10 kilotons. The simulation was conservative and applied to a time window of 4 days in the initial phase of the response to the event. The simulation findings allow for assessing the immediate effects of the electromagnetic pulse (EMP) and the radioactive contamination plumes on an inhabited area. This assessment includes data on the size of impacted zones, compromise of critical local infrastructure, radiological risk to potentially affected populations, and estimation of urban resilience and its temporal dynamics. This information helps raise levels of protection and optimize available resources.</p> </abstract>

Publisher

American Institute of Mathematical Sciences (AIMS)

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