THE (IN)EFFICIENCY OF USA EDUCATION GROUP STOCKS: BEFORE, DURING AND AFTER COVID-19

Author:

FERNANDES LEONARDO H. S.1ORCID,FERNANDES JOSÉ P. V.2ORCID,SILVA JOSÉ W. L.3ORCID,PAIVA RANILSON O. A.4ORCID,PINTO IBSEN M. B. S.4ORCID,DE ARAÚJO FERNANDO H. A.5ORCID

Affiliation:

1. Department of Economics and Informatics, Federal Rural University of Pernambuco, Serra Talhada, Brazil

2. Anhembi Morumbi University School of Medicine, Dr. Almeida Lima Street, 1134 — Mooca, São Paulo — SP, 03101-001, Brazil

3. Department of Statistics and Informatics, Federal Rural University of Pernambuco, Recife, Brazil

4. Núcleo de Excelência em Tecnologias, Sociais vinculado ao Instituto de Computação da Universidade, Federal de Alagoas — Macéio — AL, 57072-900, Brazil

5. Federal Institute of Education, Science and Technology of Paraíba, Campus Patos, PB. Acesso Rodovia, PB 110, S/N Alto, Tubiba — CEP: 58700-030, PB, Patos, Brazil

Abstract

This paper represents a pioneering effort to investigate multifractal dynamics that exclusively encompass the return time series of USA Education Group Stocks concerning two non-overlapping periods (before, during, and after COVID-19). Given this, we employ the Multifractal Detrended Fluctuations Analysis (MF-DFA). In this sense, we investigate the generalized Hurst exponent [Formula: see text] and the Rényi exponent [Formula: see text] for each asset and quantify their statistical properties, which allowed us to observe separately the contributing small scale (primarily via the negative moments [Formula: see text]) and the large scale (via the positive moments [Formula: see text]). We perform a fourth-degree polynomial regression fit to estimate the complexity parameters that describe the degree of multifractality of the underlying process. Also, we shall apply the inefficiency multifractal index to assess the COVID-19 shock for both periods. Our findings show that for both periods, the majority of these assets are marked by multifractal dynamics associated with persistent behavior [Formula: see text], a higher degree of multifractality and the dominance of large fluctuations. At the same time, most of these assets show asymmetry parameter [Formula: see text] for both periods, indicating that large fluctuations contributed more to multifractality in the time series of returns.

Publisher

World Scientific Pub Co Pte Ltd

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