OPTIMAL INVESTMENT IN INTERRELATED PROJECTS

Abstract

This paper addresses the effects in partial equilibrium models of relaxing one of the critical underlying assumptions of [A. K. Dixit & R. S. Pindyck (1994) Investment Under Uncertainty. Princeton: Princeton University Press] to investment under uncertainty: either the potential investor has access to a single project or can consider competing (or complementary) projects independently. This paper studies the investment decision of a multi-product monopolist where the projects exhibit interdependence between the cash flows of different products. We derive the optimal entry time for each product and show that the choice and investment timing differ from that suggested by the single project approach. It is well known that the decision to produce related goods simultaneously or sequentially crucially depends on their degree of substitutability or complementarity. We derive the optimal timing for the investment under this scenario.