COVID-19 in Singapore: Another story of success

Author:

Yan Yue1,Pan Hanshuang2,Shao Nian2,Xuan Yan3,Wang Shufen2,Li Weijia2,Li Xingjie4,Shen Christopher Y.5,Chen Xu6,Luo Xinyue1,Chen Yu1,Xu Boxi1,Liu Keji1,Zhong Min7,Xu Xiang8,Jiang Yu1,Lu Shuai2,Ding Guanghong9,Cheng Jin210,Chen Wenbin210

Affiliation:

1. School of Mathematics, Shanghai University of Finance and Economics, 777 Guoding Road, Shanghai 200433, P. R. China

2. School of Mathematical Sciences, Fudan University, 220 Handan Road, Shanghai 200433, P. R. China

3. School of Basic Medical Sciences, Fudan University, 220 Handan Road, Shanghai 200433, P. R. China

4. Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of North Carolina at Charlotte, 9201 Univ. City Blvd, Charlotte, NC 28223, USA

5. Shanghai American School, Pudong Campus, 1600 Lingbai Road, Shanghai 201201, P. R. China

6. Winning Health Technology Group, No. 9, Lane 99, Shouyang Road, Shanghai 200072, P. R. China

7. School of Mathematics, Southeast University, 2 Sipailou, Xuanwu District, Nanjing, Jiangsu 210096, P. R. China

8. School of Mathematical Sciences, Zhejiang University, 38 Zheda Road, Hangzhou 310027, P. R. China

9. Department of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Fudan University, 220 Handan Road, Shanghai 200433, P, R. China

10. Shanghai Key Laboratory for Contemporary Applied Mathematics, Fudan University, 220 Handan Road Shanghai 200433, P. R. China

Abstract

In this paper, we develop the Fudan-CCDC model by adding a source term to describe the imported infectors. The model is applied to analyze the situation of COVID-19 in East Asia, and then in Singapore. By data fitting, our model reveals that Singapore has a much higher isolation rate and earlier quarantine measures compared to other countries. We conclude that Singapore has been doing extraordinarily well on epidemic prevention and control. Finally we discuss the specific measures in Singapore’s success, and suggest other countries to learn from the Singapore’s style, so as to be well prepared in the future.

Funder

the National Science Foundation of China

Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory for Computational Science and Material Design

Publisher

World Scientific Pub Co Pte Lt

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