MULTISTABILITY AND SUBTHRESHOLD ENDEMIC STATES IN A MODEL FOR THE DYNAMICS OF NONSTERILIZING HIV VACCINES

Author:

VELASCO-HERNÁNDEZ JORGE X.1,TAPIA-SANTOS BRENDA2

Affiliation:

1. Programa de Matemáticas Aplicadas y Computación, Instituto Mexicano del Petróleo, Eje Central Lázaro Cárdenas 152, México, D.F: 07730, Mexico

2. Facultad de Matemáticas, Universidad Veracruzana, Circuito Aguirre Beltrán s/n, Xalapa, Ver., Mexico

Abstract

A mathematical model for a nonsterilizing vaccine is studied. The model considers a vaccination policy represented by the vaccine application rate, waning and an index of reduction of viral load. The model also incorporates the possibility of escape mutants that avoid vaccine action. The main result is that we can show the existence of an endemic equilibrium point when R0 is less than one. The reason behind it is the existence of escape mutants that promote an increased rate of infection large enough to trigger an increase in the density of infected people even in the subthreshold case.

Publisher

World Scientific Pub Co Pte Lt

Subject

Applied Mathematics,Modeling and Simulation,Engineering (miscellaneous)

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