IMPROVED PARAMETER ESTIMATION FROM NOISY TIME SERIES FOR NONLINEAR DYNAMICAL SYSTEMS

Author:

NAKAMURA TOMOMICHI12,HIRATA YOSHITO13,JUDD KEVIN1,KILMINSTER DEVIN1,SMALL MICHAEL23

Affiliation:

1. Centre for Applied Dynamics and Optimization, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Western Australia, 35 Stirling Hwy, Crawley, WA 6009, Australia

2. Department of Electronic and Information Engineering, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hung Hom, Kowloon, Hong Kong

3. Institute of Industrial Science, The University of Tokyo, 4-6-1 Komaba, Meguro-ku, Tokyo 153-8505, Japan

Abstract

In this paper we consider the problem of estimating the parameters of a nonlinear dynamical system given a finite time series of observations that are contaminated by observational noise. The least squares method is a standard method for parameter estimation, but for nonlinear dynamical systems it is well known that the least squares method can result in biased estimates, especially when the noise is significant relative to the nonlinearity. In this paper, it is demonstrated that by combining nonlinear noise reduction and least squares parameter fitting it is possible to obtain more accurate parameter estimates.

Publisher

World Scientific Pub Co Pte Lt

Subject

Applied Mathematics,Modeling and Simulation,Engineering (miscellaneous)

Cited by 6 articles. 订阅此论文施引文献 订阅此论文施引文献,注册后可以免费订阅5篇论文的施引文献,订阅后可以查看论文全部施引文献

1. Parameter Estimation for One-Dimensional Chaotic Systems by Guaranteed Algorithm and Particle Swarm Optimization;IFAC-PapersOnLine;2018

2. Parameter Identification of Chaotic Systems by a Novel Dual Particle Swarm Optimization;International Journal of Bifurcation and Chaos;2016-02

3. Statistical inference for dynamical systems: A review;Statistics Surveys;2015-01-01

4. On Observable Chaotic Maps for Queuing Analysis;Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board;2013-01

5. Estimating model parameters from noisy observations for nonlinear dynamical systems;Inverse Problems in Science and Engineering;2012-02-07

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