Stochastic Bifurcations and Multistage Order–Chaos Transitions in a 4D Eco-Epidemiological Model

Author:

Ryashko Lev1ORCID,Perevalova Tatyana1,Bashkirtseva Irina1

Affiliation:

1. Institute of Natural Science and Mathematics, Ural Federal University, Lenina, 51, Ekaterinburg 620000, Russia

Abstract

A tritrophic “prey-intermediate predator-top predator” population system with disease in the intermediate predator is considered. For this 4D-model, the bifurcation analysis is performed. In this analysis, the rate of the disease transmission is used as a bifurcation parameter. A variety of mono-, bi- and tri-stable behaviors with regular and chaotic attractors are analyzed. It is shown how random disturbances of the bifurcation parameter cause multistage stochastic transformations, noise-induced excitement, and stochastic transitions from order to chaos and reversely. These noise-induced effects are studied in terms of stochastic P- and D-bifurcations.

Funder

Russian Science Foundation

Publisher

World Scientific Pub Co Pte Ltd

Subject

Applied Mathematics,Modeling and Simulation,Engineering (miscellaneous)

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