MODELING AND ANALYZING QUARANTINE STRATEGIES OF EPIDEMIC ON TWO-LAYER NETWORKS: GAME THEORY APPROACH

Abstract

The quarantine strategy plays a crucial role in the prevention and control of infectious disease. In this paper, a two-layer network model coupling the transmission of infectious diseases and the dynamics of human behavior based on game theory is proposed. The basic reproduction number of the infectious disease in our proposed model is obtained by the next-generation matrix method and the stability of the disease-free equilibrium is analyzed. Theoretical results show that the spread of infectious diseases can be controlled when the voluntary quarantined individuals reach a certain proportion. The sensitivities of the parameters are analyzed by simulations, and the results show that increasing propaganda can directly accelerate quarantine, and reducing the relative cost of quarantine has a significant effect on preventing the infectious diseases. Increasing the detection rate will lead to overestimating the proportion of undiagnosed infected individuals, and can also promote individuals to quarantine.