The Effect of “Wuhan Closure” on the COVID-19 Pandemic in China

Author:

Wang Jian1,Shao Wei2,Yan Yan1,Kim Junseok3

Affiliation:

1. School of Mathematics and Statistics, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing 210044, P. R. China

2. School of Economics, Nanjing University of Finance and Economics, Nanjing 210023, P. R. China

3. Department of Mathematics, Korea University, Seoul 02841, Republic of Korea

Abstract

In this study, we analyzed daily records of newly diagnosed cases in Wuhan, Hubei excluding Wuhan (HEW), and China excluding Hubei (CEH) to investigate the impact of the new coronavirus outbreak in Wuhan on cities around it and throughout China. We used multifractal detrended cross-correlation analysis (MF-DXA) method to investigate the correlations between the daily number of patients in Wuhan and HEW as well as in Wuhan and CEH. We concluded that the cross-correlations between the daily number of patients in Wuhan and HEW were higher than those between the daily number of patients in Wuhan and CEH because the multifractal features of Wuhan and HEW are greater than those of Wuhan and CEH. We also found that the “Wuhan closure” conducted on January 23 resulted in a decrease in cross-correlations between Wuhan and CEH.

Funder

BK21 PLUS program

Publisher

World Scientific Pub Co Pte Ltd

Subject

General Physics and Astronomy,General Mathematics

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