Multiple control strategies against human papilloma virus spread: A mathematical model

Author:

Ogunmiloro Oluwatayo Michael1,Adebayo Kayode James1

Affiliation:

1. Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Science, Ekiti State University, Ado — Ekiti, Ekiti State, P. O. Box 5363, Nigeria

Abstract

In this paper, a model describing the transmission of Human Papilloma Virus (HPV) in a bisexually active human host community is presented. We analyze the model in a feasible region where the model is realistic in the sense of HPV transmission. Since the trivial equilibrium does not exist, we obtain the HPV-free equilibrium solutions and make use of the next generation matrix method to compute the basic reproduction number [Formula: see text], which governs HPV extinction and persistence whenever it is less or greater than unity, respectively. We perform the sensitivity analysis of the model parameters of [Formula: see text] as to HPV prevalence and found that parameters [Formula: see text] and [Formula: see text], which are the effective HPV transmission and progression to recovery parameters, are positively sensitive to [Formula: see text]. In order to minimize the increasing effect of [Formula: see text] as regards the positive sensitive parameters, we re-construct the model via optimal control theory to incorporate controls of condom usage [Formula: see text], vaccination [Formula: see text] and medical counseling [Formula: see text] respectively. With these controls, we characterize and discuss the existence and uniqueness of the control model and solve the optimality system using the forward–backward Runge–Kutta fourth-order technique via the Matlab computational software. Simulations show that each of the control strategies is potent in combating HPV but the combination of the three controls proved more efficient in minimizing HPV infection in the human bisexual host community.

Publisher

World Scientific Pub Co Pte Ltd

Subject

Computational Theory and Mathematics,Computer Science Applications,General Physics and Astronomy,Mathematical Physics,Statistical and Nonlinear Physics

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