Prediction of industrial electricity consumption based on grey cluster weighted Markov model

Abstract

Accurate prediction of industrial electricity consumption is not only beneficial to maintaining the steady development of the economy but also to conserving energy. To improve the prediction accuracy of industrial electricity consumption, a grey cluster weighted Markov model is proposed. It is applied to predict the industrial electricity consumption in four different regions in China. The prediction results are compared with the traditional discrete grey prediction model, which shows that the present model is more effective in these aspects of prediction accuracy, stability and extensibility. The research can provide theoretical references for the “West-East electricity transmission project” in China.