SELF-ORGANIZED CRITICALITY MODEL FOR EARTHQUAKES: QUIESCENCE, FORESHOCKS AND AFTERSHOCKS

Abstract

We introduce a crust relaxation process in a continuous cellular automaton version of the Burridge–Knopoff model. Analogously to the original model, our model displays a robust power law distribution of event sizes (Gutenberg–Richter law). The principal new result obtained with our model is the spatiotemporal clustering of events exhibiting several characteristics of earthquakes in nature. Large events are accompanied by a precursory quiescence and by localized fore- and aftershocks. The increase of foreshock activity as well as the decrease of aftershock activity follows a power law (Omori law) with similar exponents p and q. All empirically observed power law exponents, the Richter B-value, p and q and their variability can be reproduced simultaneously by our model, which depends mainly on the level of conservation and the relaxation time.