Modeling the Risk of In-Person Instruction During the Coronavirus Disease 2019 Pandemic

Author:

Liu Brian1ORCID,Zhang Yujia2ORCID,Henderson Shane G.3ORCID,Shmoys David B.3ORCID,Frazier Peter I.3ORCID

Affiliation:

1. Operations Research Center, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts 02139;

2. Center for Applied Mathematics, Cornell University, Ithaca, New York 14853;

3. School of Operations Research and Information Engineering, Cornell University, Ithaca, New York 14853

Abstract

We use mathematical modeling and simulation to evaluate the safety of in-person instruction in university classrooms under different interventions. We find that, for the Delta variant of COVID-19, requiring masking when more than 90% of students are vaccinated is safe and easy to implement, without needing to assign fixed seats or improving the ventilation in classrooms. Our model supported Cornell University to safely conduct in-person instruction in fall 2021.

Publisher

Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences (INFORMS)

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