Known Unknowns: A Critical Determinant of Confidence and Calibration-Reference-Cited by-同舟云学术

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Known Unknowns: A Critical Determinant of Confidence and Calibration

Published:2017-12 Issue:12 Volume:63 Page:4298-4307
ISSN:0025-1909
Container-title:Management Science
language:en
Short-container-title:Management Science

Author:

Walters Daniel J.¹,Fernbach Philip M.²,Fox Craig R.¹,Sloman Steven A.³

Affiliation:

1. Anderson School of Management, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, California 90024

2. Leeds School of Business, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, Colorado 80309

3. Department of Cognitive, Linguistic, and Psychological Sciences, Brown University, Providence, Rhode Island 02912

Publisher

Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences (INFORMS)

Subject

Management Science and Operations Research,Strategy and Management

Link

https://pubsonline.informs.org/doi/pdf/10.1287/mnsc.2016.2580

Reference51 articles.

1. A progress report on the training of probability assessors

2. Missing the trees for the forest: A construal level account of the illusion of explanatory depth.

3. Overconfidence among physicians and nurses: The ‘micro-certainty, macro-uncertainty’ phenomenon

4. Ben-David I, Graham JR, Harvey CR (2007) Managerial overconfidence and corporate policies. NBER Working Paper 13711, National Bureau Economonic Research, Cambridge, MA.

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