Spatial Optimization to Improve COVID-19 Vaccine Allocation

Author:

Goodson Justin,Scroggins StephenORCID,Afroze Tasnova,Shacham Enbal

Abstract

AbstractEarly distribution of COVID-19 vaccines was largely driven by population size and did not account for COVID-19 prevalence nor location characteristics. In this study, we applied an optimization framework to identify distribution strategies that would have lowered COVID-19 related morbidity and mortality. Optimized vaccine allocation would have decreased case incidence by 8% with 5,926 fewer COVID-19 cases, 106 fewer deaths, and 4.5 million dollars in healthcare cost saved during the first half of 2021. As COVID-19 variants continue to be identified, and the likelihood of future pandemics remains high, application of resource optimization should be a priority for policy makers.

Publisher

Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory

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