Reduced selection during sweeps lead to adaptive momentum on rugged landscapes

Abstract

AbstractEvolutionary theory seeks to explain the remarkable diversity and adaptability of life on Earth. Current theory offers substantial explanatory power, but it overlooks important transient dynamics that are prominent only when populations are outside equilibrium, such as during selective sweeps. We identify a dynamic that we call “adaptive momentum” whereby lineages with a selective advantage can temporarily sustain more deleterious mutations. This reduction in the strength of purifying selection allows populations to explore fitness valleys that are usually too costly to enter, potentially leading to the discovery of otherwise inaccessible fitness peaks. Using mathematical and agent-based simulations, we demonstrate adaptive momentum and show how periods of disequilibrium become windows of enhanced adaptation. Genetic exploration can occur during these windows without requiring mechanisms such as changing environments or complex landscapes. Adaptive momentum provides a simple potential explanation for bursts of rapid evolution observed in nature, including in pathogens such as SARS-CoV-2 and cancers. (152 words)