Tafenoquine following G6PD screening versus primaquine for the treatment of vivax malaria in Brazil: a cost-effectiveness analysis using a transmission model

Author:

Price David JORCID,Nekkab Narimane,Monteiro Wuelton M,Villela Daniel AMORCID,Simpson Julie A.ORCID,Lacerda Marcus VG,White Michael T,Devine AngelaORCID

Abstract

ABSTRACTBackgroundMalaria transmission modelling has demonstrated the potential impact of semi-quantitative glucose-6-phosphate dehydrogenase (G6PD) testing and treatment with single-dose tafenoquine forPlasmodium vivaxradical cure. This modelling has focused on predicting the number of vivax cases averted, rather than its cost-effectiveness.MethodsWe explored the cost-effectiveness of using tafenoquine after G6PD screening as compared to usual practice (7-day low-dose primaquine (0.5 mg/kg/day) without G6PD screening) in Brazil using a 10-year time horizon with 5% discounting considering four scenarios: 1) tafenoquine for adults only assuming 66.7% primaquine treatment adherence, 2) tafenoquine for adults and children aged >2 years assuming 66.7% primaquine adherence, 3) tafenoquine for adults only assuming 90% primaquine adherence, 4) tafenoquine for adults only assuming 30% primaquine adherence. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) were estimated by dividing the incremental costs by the disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) averted. These were compared to a willingness to pay threshold of US$7,800 for Brazil, and one-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed.ResultsAll four scenarios were cost-effective using this willingness to pay threshold with ICERs ranging from US$154–1836. One-way sensitivity analyses showed that the results were most sensitive to severity and mortality due to vivax malaria, the lifetime and number of semi-quantitative G6PD analysers needed, cost per malaria episode and per G6PD test strips, and life expectancy. All scenarios had a 100% likelihood of being cost-effective at the willingness to pay threshold.ConclusionsTafenoquine prescribed after a semi-quantitative G6PD testing is highly likely to be cost-effective in Brazil.

Publisher

Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory

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