Uncovering expression signatures of synergistic drug response using an ensemble of explainable AI models

Abstract

AbstractComplex machine learning models are poised to revolutionize the treatment of diseases like acute myeloid leukemia (AML) by helping physicians choose optimal combinations of anti-cancer drugs based on molecular features. While accurate predictions are important, it is equally important to be able to learn about the underlying molecular basis of anti-cancer drug synergy. Explainable AI (XAI) offers a promising new route for data-driven cancer pharmacology, combining highly accurate models with interpretable insights into model decisions. Due to the highly correlated, high-dimensional nature of cancer transcriptomic data, however, we find that existing XAI approaches are suboptimal when applied naively to large transcriptomic datasets. We show how a novel approach based on model ensembling helps to increase the quality of explanations. We then use our method to demonstrate that a hematopoietic differentiation signature underlies synergy for a variety of anti-AML drug combinations.