Sufficient COVID-19 quarantine and testing on international travelers from China

Abstract

AbstractObjectivesRemoval of zero-COVID restrictions in China led to a surge in COVID-19 cases. In response, countries imposed restrictions on Chinese travelers. However, border policies may not provide substantial benefits and their assessment depends on accurate prevalence data.MethodsWe analyzed quarantines and testing sufficient to prevent additional in-country transmission for February 13–19, 2023 based on World Health Organization (WHO) and self-reported infection rates to estimate prevalence.ResultsHere we have shown that self-reported prevalence data indicated more stringent border restrictions compared to WHO-published prevalence statistics. No travel restrictions were required for Singapore for infections to not be greater than in complete border closure, while a 1-day quarantine, 2-day quarantine, and a 3-day quarantine were indicated for England, Germany, and Scotland respectively. A 10-day quarantine, 11-day quarantine, and 13-day quarantine were required for Italy, Japan, and France, respectively, to prevent an increase in the number of within-country infections due to travel, while South Korea required a complete border shutdown.ConclusionsOur results demonstrated the necessity for accurate and timely reporting of pandemic statistics to prevent an increase in viral spread. Through the minimum-quarantine analysis, countries can use science to determine policy, minimize international friction, and improve the cost-efficiency of interventions.