Cost-effectiveness and budget impact of decentralising childhood tuberculosis diagnosis: a mathematical modelling study in six high tuberculosis incidence countries

Author:

d’Elbée Marc,Harker Martin,Mafirakureva Nyashadzaishe,Nanfuka Mastula,Huyen Ton Nu Nguyet Minh,Taguebue Jean-Voisin,Moh Raoul,Khosa Celso,Mustapha Ayeshatu,Mwanga-Amumpere Juliet,Borand Laurence,Kwedi Nolna Sylvie,Komena Eric,Cumbe Saniata,Mugisha Jacob,Natukunda Naome,Eang Mao Tan,Wittwer Jérôme,Bénard Antoine,Bernard Tanguy,Sohn Hojoon,Bonnet Maryline,Wobudeya Eric,Marcy Olivier,Dodd Peter J.ORCID,

Abstract

AbstractBackgroundThe burden of childhood tuberculosis remains high globally, largely due to under-diagnosis. Decentralising childhood tuberculosis diagnosis services to lower health system levels could improve case detection, but there is little empirically based evidence on cost-effectiveness or budget impact.MethodsWe assessed the cost-effectiveness and budget impact of decentralising a comprehensive diagnosis package for childhood tuberculosis to district hospitals (DH-focused) or primary health centres (PHC-focused) compared to standard of care (SOC) in Cambodia, Cameroon, Côte d’Ivoire, Mozambique, Sierra Leone, and Uganda (NCT04038632). A mathematical model was developed to assess the health and economic outcomes of the intervention from a health system perspective. Estimated outcomes were tuberculosis cases, deaths, disability- adjusted life years and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs). We also calculated the budget impact of nationwide implementation.FindingsFor the DH-focused strategy versus SOC, ICERs ranged between $263 (Cambodia) and $342 (Côte d’Ivoire) per disability-adjusted life-year (DALY) averted. For the PHC-focused strategy versus SOC, ICERs ranged between $477 (Cambodia) and $599 (Côte d’Ivoire) per DALY averted. Results were sensitive to TB prevalence and the discount rate used. The additional costs of implementing the DH-focused strategy ranged between $13M (Cambodia) and $50M (Mozambique), and between $14M (Sierra Leone) and $135M (Uganda) for the PHC-focused strategy.InterpretationThe DH-focused strategy may be cost-effective in some countries, depending on the cost- effectiveness threshold used for policy making. Either intervention would require substantial early investment.FundingUnitaid

Publisher

Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory

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