Impact of January 2021 curfew measures on SARS-CoV-2 B.1.1.7 circulation in France-Reference-Cited by-同舟云学术

Impact of January 2021 curfew measures on SARS-CoV-2 B.1.1.7 circulation in France

Published:2021-02-16 Issue: Volume: Page:
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Author:

Di Domenico Laura^ORCID,Sabbatini Chiara E.,Pullano Giulia^ORCID,Lévy-Bruhl Daniel,Colizza Vittoria^ORCID

Abstract

AbstractFacing B.1.1.7 variant, social distancing was strengthened in France in January 2021. Using a 2-strain mathematical model calibrated on genomic surveillance, we estimated that curfew measures allowed hospitalizations to plateau, by decreasing transmission of the historical strain while B.1.1.7 continued to grow. School holidays appear to have further slowed down progression in February. Without progressively strengthened social distancing, a rapid surge of hospitalizations is expected, despite the foreseen increase in vaccination rhythm.

Publisher

Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory

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