Abstract
AbstractThe True Infection Rate (TIR) in the whole population of each country and the Infection Fatality Rate (IFR) for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) are unknown. We devised a simple method to infer TIR and IFR based on the open data. The estimated TIR was compared with local antibody surveys. Estimated IFR took on a wide range of values up to 10%. The importance of the attenuation of the viral virulence is emphasized.Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic is a worldwide peril. The True Infection Rate (TIR) of COVID-19 in the whole population of each country and the Infection Fatality Rate (IFR) would be important parameters for guiding the strategy of public health, although they are unknown yet. We devised a simple method to infer TIR and IFR based on the open data.
Publisher
Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory
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