Identification of a blood test-based biomarker of aging through deep learning of aging trajectories in large phenotypic datasets of mice

Abstract

We proposed and characterized a novel biomarker of aging and frailty in mice trained from the large set of the most conventional, easily measured blood parameters such as Complete Blood Counts (CBC) from the open-access Mouse Phenome Database (MPD). Instead of postulating the existence of an aging clock associated with any particular subsystem of an aging organism, we assumed that aging arises cooperatively from positive feedback loops spanning across physiological compartments and leading to an organism-level instability of the underlying regulatory network. To analyze the data, we employed a deep artificial neural network including auto-encoder (AE) and auto-regression (AR) components. The AE was used for dimensionality reduction and denoising the data. The AR was used to describe the dynamics of an individual mouse’s health state by means of stochastic evolution of a single organism state variable, the “dynamic frailty index” (dFI), that is the linear combination of the latent AE features and has the meaning of the total number of regulatory abnormalities developed up to the point of the measurement or, more formally, the order parameter associated with the instability. We used neither the chronological age nor the remaining lifespan of the animals while training the model. Nevertheless, dFI fully described aging on the organism level, that is it increased exponentially with age and predicted remaining lifespan. Notably, dFI correlated strongly with multiple hallmarks of aging such as physiological frailty index, indications of physical decline, molecular markers of inflammation and accumulation of senescent cells. The dynamic nature of dFI was demonstrated in mice subjected to aging acceleration by placement on a high-fat diet and aging deceleration by treatment with rapamycin.