Evidence of adaptive host and vector manipulation by plant viruses revealed through combined meta-analysis and modeling approaches

Abstract

AbstractA growing number of studies indicate that plant viruses enhance their own transmission by modifying host phenotypes and vector behavior, leading to the hypothesis that such effects are manipulations resulting from virus adaptations. However, few studies have linked putative manipulations with virus components, and the true frequency and magnitude of host and vector manipulation across virus taxa remains unknown. To address this knowledge gap, we performed a meta-analysis to quantify convergence in virus effects on hosts and vectors across taxonomic groups that share transmission mechanism traits, and thereby stand to benefit from similar sequences of vector behavior. We then combined meta-analysis outputs with an epidemiological model to assess consequences of manipulation for virus spread. Overall, transmission mechanism traits strongly predicted the magnitude and nature of virus effects on vector preferences and performance. Models parameterized with meta-analysis data demonstrate that manipulation effects enhance virus spread, and that viruses with long acquisition times and retention durations are under strong selection pressure to manipulate transmission. By combining meta-analysis with epidemiological modeling, our results confirm that host and vector manipulation are important aspects of plant virus ecology and evolution while emphasizing the need to incorporate more pathosystems and transmission mechanism traits in future studies.