Association Between Seasonal Respiratory Virus Activity and Invasive Pneumococcal Disease in Central Ontario, Canada

Abstract

ABSTRACTBackgroundIn central Ontario, influenza, respiratory syncytial virus (RSV), and invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) follow similar seasonal patterns, peaking in winter. We aimed to quantify the independent and joint impact of influenza A, influenza B, and RSV on IPD risk at the population level.MethodsWe used a 2:1 self-matched case-crossover study design to evaluate acute effects of respiratory virus activity on IPD risk. This design ensures that effects are not confounded by within-individual characteristics that remain constant over short periods of time. We included 3,892 IPD cases occurring between January 2000 and June 2009. Effects were measured using univariable and multivariable conditional logistic regression. Multivariable models included environmental covariates (e.g., temperature, absolute humidity, and UV index) and interaction terms between viruses.ResultsInfluenza A activity and influenza B activity were both independently associated with increased IPD risk; however, co-circulation of influenza A and B reduced the impact of both viruses. RSV activity was positively associated with increased IPD risk only in the presence of increased influenza A or influenza B activity.ConclusionsTo our knowledge this represents the first study to consider the impact of interactions between these viruses on IPD risk in Canada. Our findings suggest that the prevention of IPD should be considered as a potential health benefit of influenza and RSV vaccination programs.