Challenges in estimating heritability of phase polyphenism: insights from measured and simulated data in the desert locust

Abstract

AbstractQuantitative genetics experiments aim at understanding and predicting the evolution of phenotypic traits. Running such experiments often bring the same questions: Should I bother with maternal effects? Could I estimate those effects? What is the best crossing scheme to obtain reliable estimates? Can I use molecular markers to spare time in the complex task of keeping track of the experimental pedigree?We explored those practical issues in the desert locust, Schistocerca gregaria using morphologic and coloration traits, known to be influenced by maternal effects. We ran quantitative genetic analyses with an experimental dataset and used simulations to explore i) the efficiency of animal models to accurately estimate both heritability and maternal effects, ii) the influence of crossing schemes on the precision of estimates and iii) the performance of a marker-based method compared to the pedigree-based method.The simulations indicated that maternal effects deeply affect heritability estimates and very large datasets are required to properly distinguish and estimate maternal effects and heritabilities. In particular, ignoring maternal effects in the animal model resulted in overestimation of heritabilities and a high rate of false positives whereas models specifying maternal variance suffer from lack of power. Maternal effects can be estimated more precisely than heritabilities but with low power. To obtain better estimates, bigger datasets are required and, in the presence of maternal effects, increasing the number of families over the number of offspring per families is recommended. Our simulations also showed that, in the desert locust, using relatedness based on available microsatellite markers may allow reasonably reliable estimates while rearing locusts in group.In the light of the simulation results, our experimental dataset suggested that maternal effects affected various phase traits. However the statistical limitations, revealed by the simulation approach, didn’t allow precise variance estimates. We stressed out that doing simulations is a useful step to design an experiment in quantitative genetics and interpret the outputs of the statistical models.