Comparative Analysis of Reported Deaths Cases Associated with the New Coronavirus COVID-19 Pandemic in the South Caucasus Countries (Armenia, Azerbaijan, Georgia) from March 2020 to May 2022

Abstract

AbstractThe results of a statistical analysis of daily, total by days of the week and monthly data on officially reported deaths cases from the new coronavirus COVID-19 in the countries of the South Caucasus (Armenia, Azerbaijan, Georgia) from March 12, 2020 to May 31, 2022 are presented. All data are normalized per 1 million populations (mortality rate, hereinafter, this normalization is assumed everywhere). In particular, the following results were obtained.The daily mortality rate in Armenia averaged 3.591 (range: 0-23.622), in Azerbaijan - 1.184 (range: 0-10.969), in Georgia - 5.596 (range: 0-23.189). The total monthly mortality rate in Armenia averaged 107.9 (variability range: 1.01-415.4), in Azerbaijan - 35.6 (variability range: 0.39-122.9), in Georgia - 168.1 (variability range: 0-547.4).A direct linear correlation was observed between the indicated countries in cases of daily and total monthly mortality.An analysis of the intraweek course of mortality showed that in Armenia, on weekdays, the average daily mortality is 4.319, and on weekends - 3.477 (an increase compared to weekends by about 24%); in Azerbaijan, on weekdays and weekends, the average daily mortality is 1.368 and 1.421, respectively (the difference is insignificant); in Georgia on weekdays, the average daily mortality is 7.558, and on weekends - 6.855 (an increase of about 10% compared to weekends).