Delayed dichromatism as a convenient tool to disentangle the effects of survival and productivity on the population dynamics in waterfowl

Abstract

AbstractMonitoring the number of individuals is by far the most popular strategy for studying the environmental factors that determine population dynamics and for measuring the effectiveness of management actions aimed at population recovery, control, or eradication. unfortunately, monitoring numbers is inefficient in identifying the mechanisms underlying demographic processes and, in particular, in assessing the extent to which population growth rate is influenced by changes in adult survival rather than variations in reproductive parameters. The usual method for determining adult survival and productivity relies on capturing and marking, which has three major drawbacks. Firstly, the selectivity of capture methods can lead to a distorted representation of the underlying population structure. Secondly, the capture and release of animals is quite invasive, causing stress and posing an additional threat to the often already endangered species. Thirdly, release may simply be impossible, especially for invasive alien species that represent a threat to native taxa. In many waterfowl species, sexual dichromatism is observed in adults, while immatures of both sexes display a plumage pattern similar to that of adult females. Using two non-native populations of Ruddy duck, a species that exhibits this plumage pattern, we present a noninvasive method to estimate the respective contribution of adult survival and productivity (also called recruitment rate) to the population growth rate. We exemplify how changes in the apparent proportion of males in counts (due to female-like immature males gradually acquiring adult male plumage) can be exploited to split the population growth rate into adult survival and recruitment rates, which contributes significantly to understanding the demographic impact of two different eradication strategies.