Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on breast cancer screening indicators in a Spanish population-based program: a cohort study

Abstract

AbstractBackgroundTo assess the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on performance indicators in the population-based breast cancer screening program of Parc de Salut Mar (PSMAR), Barcelona, Spain.MethodsWe conducted a before-and-after, quasi-experimental study to evaluate participation, recall, false-positives, cancer detection rate, and cancer characteristics in our screening population from March 2020 to March 2021 compared with the four previous rounds (2012-2019). Using independent logistic regression models, we estimated the adjusted odds ratios (aOR) of each of the performance indicators for the COVID-19 period, controlling by type of screening (prevalent or incident), socioeconomic index, family history of breast cancer, and menopausal status. We analyzed 144,779 observations from 47,571 women.ResultsDuring the COVID-19 period, the odds of participation were 11% lower in first-time invitees (aOR=0.89[95%CI=0.84-0.96]) and in those who had previously participated regularly and irregularly (aOR=0.65 [95%CI=0.61-0.69] and aOR=0.93 [95%CI=0.85-1.03], respectively). Participation showed a modest increase in women not attending any of the previous rounds (aOR=1.07 [95%CI=0.99-1.17]). The recall rate slightly decreased in both prevalent and incident screening (aOR=0.89 [95%CI=0.78-1.01] and aOR=0.89 [95%CI=0.79-1.00], respectively). No significant differences were observed in false-positives (prevalent - aOR=1.07 [95%CI=0.92-1.24] and incident screening -aOR=0.94 [95%CI=0.82-1.08]), cancer detection rate (aOR=0.91 [95%CI=0.69-1.18]), or cancer stages.ConclusionsThe COVID-19 pandemic negatively affected screening attendance, especially in previous participants and newcomers. We found no marked differences in recall, false-positives, or cancer detection, indicating the program’s resilience. There is a need for further evaluations of interval cancers and potential diagnostic delays.