Emulation of epidemics via Bluetooth-based virtual safe virus spread: experimental setup, software, and data

Abstract

AbstractWe describe an experimental setup and a currently running experiment for evaluating how physical interactions over time and between individuals affect the spread of epidemics. Our experiment involves the voluntary use of the Safe Blues Android app by participants at The University of Auckland (UoA) City Campus in New Zealand. The app spreads multiple virtual safe virus strands via Bluetooth depending on the social and physical proximity of the subjects. The evolution of the virtual epidemics is recorded as they spread through the population. The data is presented as a real-time (and historical) dashboard. A simulation model is applied to calibrate strand parameters. Participants’ locations are not recorded, but participants are rewarded based on the duration of participation within a geofenced area, and aggregate participation numbers serve as part of the data. Once the experiment is complete, the data will be made available as an open-source anonymized dataset.This paper outlines the experimental setup, software, subject-recruitment practices, ethical considerations, and dataset description. The paper also highlights current experimental results in view of the lockdown that started in New Zealand at 23:59 on August 17, 2021. The experiment was initially planned in the New Zealand environment, expected to be free of COVID and lockdowns after 2020. However, a COVID Delta strain lockdown shuffled the cards and the experiment is currently extended into 2022.Author summaryIn this paper, we describe the Safe Blues Android app experimental setup and a currently running experiment at the University of Auckland City Campus. This experiment is designed to evaluate how physical interactions over time and between individuals affect the spread of epidemics.The Safe Blues app spreads multiple virtual safe virus strands via Bluetooth based on the subjects’ unobserved social and physical proximity. The app does not record the participants’ locations, but participants are rewarded based on the duration of participation within a geofenced area, and aggregate participation numbers serve as part of the data. When the experiment is finished, the data will be released as an open-source anonymized dataset.The experimental setup, software, subject recruitment practices, ethical considerations, and dataset description are all described in this paper. In addition, we present our current experimental results in view of the lockdown that started in New Zealand at 23:59 on August 17, 2021. The information we provide here may be useful to other teams planning similar experiments in the future.